Monday, 24 March 2014

Value Investing- An Introduction


To start understanding what value investing really means, we 1st need to understand the true meaning of investing.
Investing is the act of committing money or capital to an endeavour (a business, project, real estate, etc.) with the expectation of obtaining an additional income or profit. Investing also can include the amount of time you put into the study of a prospective company, especially since time is money.
In words of Benjamin Graham - Investing is "an operation which, upon thorough analysis, promises safety of principal and a satisfactory return"
So to differentiate investing from speculation you need the following:
1. Thorough study of the business.
2. Expectation of regular return or income.
3. Safety of the invested capital or money.
Benjamin Graham is considered the father of value investing. He began teaching the Value Investing Concept at Columbia Business School in 1928. The two of Grahams most known students are Warren Buffet and Irving Kahn.
The Value Investing Concept has 5 fundamental rules.
Rule 1: Companies have intrinsic value
An intrinsic value is the true value of a business. A business's intrinsic value could be estimated from its financial statements, namely the balance sheet and income statement. This concept maybe explained with the help of a simple example- Most sensible shoppers go to purchase a TV when its on sale rather than purchasing it on full price. The quality or properties of a TV do not change when its on sale. They remain same. The similar assumption holds true for a stock. The prices of a stock may change even when the true value of the company remains the same. The fluctuations in the market change the price but they do not change what a buyer purchases.
The various methods one can use to find the approximate intrinsic value of a company are- asset based approach, cash flow based approach, study of prior transactions and relative valuation of the company. But be warned, the intrinsic value that you may arrive on may not always be true as any estimate of the intrinsic value is based on a numerous assumptions about the future.
Rule 2: Always keep margin of safety
When market price is significantly below your estimation of the intrinsic value, the difference is the margin of safety.
A margin of safety is achieved when securities are purchased at prices sufficiently below underlying value to allow for human error, bad luck or extreme volatility” – Seth Klarman
The future is inherently unpredictable, thus a margin of safety provides protection against bad luck, human error or bad timing.
The margin of safety concept may be explained better with the following example:
If you were asked to build a bridge over which 10,000-pound trucks were to pass, would you build it to hold exactly 10,000 pounds? Of course not, you’d build the bridge to hold 15,000 or 20,000 pounds. That is your margin of safety.
Rule 3: Consider the Efficient Market Hypothesis wrong
The efficient market hypothesis or EMH states that it is impossible to beat the market. It assumes that all stocks trade at a fair price on the stock exchange. Thus making the purchase of undervalued stocks and sale of inflated value stocks, difficult.
Value investors believe that sometimes stocks are under-priced or over-priced.
Rule 4: Value investors do not follow the others
Value investors are often considered contrarians. They go against the crowd. Value investors not only reject the efficient-market hypothesis, but when everyone else is buying, they're often selling or standing back. When everyone else is selling, they're buying or holding.
Value investors do not consider buying the popular stocks as they are usually over-priced.  They look at companies which are usually unloved, neglected and typically cheap but not low in quality.
Rule 5: Have patience and diligence
To become a value investor it is necessary to know your circle of competence. To enhance ones circle of competence one should do what he knows. One should do his/her research well. Value investors never get compelled to invest in an area because everyone else is investing there.
The circle of competence of a person enhances over a period of time. Unlike sportspersons, investors get better as they age.




[1] Definition of investing as per www.investopedia.com

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